Will Bitcoin halving affect altcoins?
Yes, the halving will make Bitcoin more scarce, which should affect all altcoins. After the daily supply of new bitcoins is cut by 50%, we usually observe a gradual rise of the Bitcoin price. Why ? Because the supply is lower, while the demand stays stable or grows, which drives BTC prices up.
But another interesting phenomenon occurs after the halving as well: Top altcoins tend to see a huge spike in market cap as they follow Bitcoin higher. And in fact, some of these coins actually outperform Bitcoin in the 12-month period after the halving.
Dogeverse, 99Bitcoins, and Slothana represent three distinct yet compelling investment opportunities in the pre-halving crypto market. Dogeverse offers the allure of a multi-chain meme coin with a strategic launch window. 99Bitcoins provides a unique Learn-to-Earn model with a loyal community.
That being said, if you're looking to diversify your crypto portfolio with a few big winners in the post-halving cycle, three names at the top of my list are Solana, Chainlink, and SingularityNET.
Since Bitcoin has no underlying value—only a cost to produce—its price is entirely subject to supply and demand dynamics. The halving tends to have a positive impact because it further restricts supply, and Bitcoin has a history of outperforming after prior halvings.
It is a pre-programmed mechanism in the Bitcoin protocol designed to control the issuance rate and total supply of the cryptocurrency. During the Halving event, the number of new Bitcoins created with each block mined is reduced by half.
After the 2012, 2016 and 2020 halvings, the bitcoin price ran up about 93x, 30x and 8x, respectively, from its halving day price to its cycle top.
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The next bitcoin (BTC) halving is likely to occur in April 2024 and could have a dramatic impact on the cryptocurrency's price. Discover everything you need to know about the next bitcoin halving – including what it is, why it's happening and how you can trade it. Start trading today.
Is Bitcoin halving bullish?
Historically, halvings have proven to be important catalysts for bull markets, and while the rate of impact is decreasing, the upcoming halving is likely to prove important for bitcoin's price formation.
Alun Evans, co-founder of Laos Network, a universal layer-1 for digital assets, told Cointelegraph, “While this event directly impacts Bitcoin, its implications are felt across the entire crypto ecosystem, including Ethereum.” Evans adds, “The reduced supply of new coins entering the market can lead to scarcity.
“Historically, there is a lot of bitcoin price volatility leading up to and after a halving event,” says Rob Chang, CEO of Gryphon Digital Mining, a privately held bitcoin miner. “However, the price of bitcoin typically ends up significantly higher a few months after.”
Altcoins Might Take Few Months To Skyrocket
As Bitcoin's price rises after the halving, this increase often motivates investors to put their money and focus in altcoins, bringing a fresh wave of investment.
While altcoins are bleeding, the Bitcoin halving might decrease the asset's dominance, according to market observers. One such analyst is Michael van de Poppe, who stated that the decrease in the BTC dominance could set a new bullish path for altcoins.
When bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency by market cap, goes up, other digital tokens tend to increase in value as well. When BTC declines, it's likely that other players in the space will drop at the same time.
Majority of the altcoins show weakness against the strength of Bitcoin. You may have seen in the past when Bitcoin moves sharp Altcoins either bleed down slowly or do nothing. This is what is happening right now people are selling their Altcoins and moving to bitcoin in anticipation of ETF approval pump on Bitcoin.
Historically, XRP has demonstrated a tendency to outperform Bitcoin in periods surrounding halving events. For instance, the XRP/BTC pair rose by over 100% after the third Bitcoin halving in May 2020. Similarly, the pair jumped 85% around the second Bitcoin Halving in July 2016.
Experts have varying opinions on the potential impact of the upcoming halving. Some believe that the reduced supply of new coins, coupled with steady or increasing demand, could lead to a significant price appreciation. Others caution that reduced mining activity due to lower rewards might cause the price to level off.
Because a halving reduces the number of new Bitcoins introduced, demand for new Bitcoins generally increases. This can be noted by looking at Bitcoin's price after each previous halving event—it has generally risen.
What will happen after Bitcoin halving in 2024?
After a halving event, miners would have fewer bitcoin to sell, meaning the price could go up. Mining is now dominated by larger, often publicly traded, companies. With a liquid, regulated derivatives market, it is possible for these firms to hedge and lock in future bitcoin prices without selling their coins.
The 2024 Bitcoin halving is expected to happen on April 17, 2024, and is being highly anticipated. Experts, including Robert Kiyosaki, have predicted that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by June 2024, while Standard Chartered suggests that Bitcoin could soar to $200,000 by the end of the year.
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