Bitcoin Could Slide to $42K After Halving Hype Subsides, JPMorgan Says (2024)

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What is the prediction of JPMorgan bitcoin? ›

JPMorgan predicts drop to $42,000 after April halving. Bitcoin's price—above $63,000 on Thursday—has reached heights not seen in two years, but the coin's upcoming halving event could push prices down to $42,000, according to analysts at JPMorgan.

JPMorgan said it expects bitcoin to fall after the reward halving. The bank's analysis shows that the cryptocurrency remains overbought. Miners will be most affected by the event, the report said.

Typically, Bitcoin prices continue to surge for a good few months following a halving month, rising, on average, for seven months.

The halving event has important economic consequences for Bitcoin's supply and demand. While a basic supply-and-demand model may be simplistic, it does suggest that the price of Bitcoin should increase after the April halving.

After the halving, the rate of issuance of new bitcoin as well as the rewards for successful bitcoin miners are cut in half. There can only be 21 million bitcoin, and fewer new tokens entering circulation could impact bitcoin prices. That's why the halving is watched closely by miners and investors alike.

The historical correlation between halving events and the bitcoin price exists, with the price of bitcoin substantially increasing approximately six months after the halving days from 2012, 2017, and 2020.

More than half of the experts Finder surveyed expected the price to increase after a so-called "BTC halving event" in April 2024. A halving event refers to a period every few years when the reward for mining Bitcoin transactions is cut in half.

How much will Bitcoin be worth in the next 5 years? ›

A 50% gain this year would boost Bitcoin's price to $65,800 by Jan. 1, 2025, while another 50% gain would drive its price to $98,700 by Jan. 1, 2026. So if Bitcoin merely replicates its average annual growth rate from the past decade, its price could approach $100,000 by the end of 2025.

Bitcoin halving is considered bullish because each event reduces the rate at which future bitcoins are created. This then boosts the scarcity and value of existing bitcoins. But a positive effect isn't guaranteed.

If Bitcoin continues this pattern into 2030, the price could peak around 2029 or 2030. If Wood is correct and Bitcoin reaches $3.8 million, if you invested $1,000 in Bitcoin now, it would be worth $54,280 in 2030. This would result in a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 95%.

Top 7 Cryptos to Explode in 2024: BlockDAG, Bitcoin, ADA, XRP, AVAX, MATIC and TRX. The crypto market is set for a transformative phase, with BlockDAG at the forefront, having raised a significant $23.4 million in its latest presale.

Bitcoin's Price History

Notably, Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, predicted that bitcoin could reach an astounding $1.48 million by 2030. Obviously, the world's oldest cryptocurrency has come a long way since its first recorded price of less than a cent.

Based on short-term price targets offered by 23 analysts, the average price target for JPMorgan Chase & Co. comes to $199.09. The forecasts range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $220.00. The average price target represents an increase of 3.69% from the last closing price of $192.00.

Though the price of bitcoin has pulled back modestly in recent weeks, analysts at Bernstein believe the leading cryptocurrency "is far from done." They have reiterated their prediction that bitcoin will reach $150,000 this cycle, expected by the end of 2025.

Max Keiser predicts Bitcoin to be worth $200K in 2024. Fidelity predicts one Bitcoin will be worth $1B in 2038. Hal Finney predicted $22M per Bitcoin by 2045.

Bitcoin's Price History

Notably, Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, predicted that bitcoin could reach an astounding $1.48 million by 2030. Obviously, the world's oldest cryptocurrency has come a long way since its first recorded price of less than a cent.