Fisher Equation (2024)

The nominal interest rate is equal to the sum of the real interest rate and inflation

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What is the Fisher Equation?

The Fisher equation is a concept in economics that describes the relationship between nominal and real interest rates under the effect of inflation. The equation states that the nominal interest rate is equal to the sum of the real interest rate plus inflation.

The Fisher equation is often used in situations where investors or lenders ask for an additional reward to compensate for losses in purchasing power due to high inflation.

Fisher Equation (1)

The concept is widely used in the fieldsof finance and economics. It is frequently used in calculating returns on investments or in predicting the behavior of nominal and real interest rates. One example is when an investor wants to determine the actual (real) interest rate earned on an investment after accounting for the effect of inflation.

One interesting finding of the Fisher equation is related to monetary policy. The equation reveals that monetary policy moves inflation and the nominal interest rate together in the same direction. Whereas, monetary policy generally does not affect the real interest rate.

American economist Irving Fisher proposed the equation.

Fisher Equation Formula

The Fisher equation is expressed through the following formula:

(1 + i) =(1 + r)(1 + π)

Where:

  • i – the nominal interest rate
  • r – the real interest rate
  • π – the inflation rate

However, one can also use the approximate version of the previous formula:

i ≈ r +π

Fisher Equation Example

Suppose Sam owns an investment portfolio. Last year, the portfolio earned a return of 3.25%. However, last year’s inflation rate was around 2%. Sam wants to determine the real return he earned from his portfolio. In order to find the real rate of return, we use the Fisher equation. The equation states that:

(1 + i) =(1 + r)(1 + π)

We can rearrange the equation to find the real interest rate:

Fisher Equation (2)

Therefore, the real interest rate, or actual return on investment, of the portfolio equals:

Fisher Equation (3)

The real interest that Sam’s investment portfolio earned last year, after accounting for inflation, is 1.26%.

Related Readings

Thank you for reading CFI’s guide to Fisher Equation. To keep learning and advancing your career, the following CFI resources will be helpful:

Fisher Equation (2024)

FAQs

What is the Fisher equation formula? ›

The precise formula is (1 + nominal interest rate) = (1 + real interest rate) x (1 + inflation rate). Since this formula can be difficult to calculate, a more commonly used formula is i ≈ r +π where i is the nominal interest rate, r is the real interest rate and π is the inflation rate.

What is the formula for the Fisher rule? ›

The Fisher equation provides the link between nominal and real interest rates. To convert from nominal interest rates to real interest rates, we use the following formula: real interest rate ≈ nominal interest rate − inflation rate.

How do you use Fisher's formula? ›

The minimum required sample size was calculated using Fisher's formula: N= z-score^2*stDev*(1-stDev)/confidence interval^2. 15 Where N indicates the sample size, and (z) indicates the level of confidence.

What is the generalized Fisher equation? ›

A generalized Fisher equation (GFE) relates the time derivative of the average of the intrinsic rate of growth to its variance. The GFE is an exact mathematical result that has been widely used in population dynamics and genetics, where it originated.

What is Fisher's theory? ›

Fisher's Quantity Theory of Money-The Transactions Approach

The quantity of money affects the price level and value of money. Price level changes directly and value of money changes inversely in the same proportion as the change in supply of money, other things remaining the same.

What is the Fisher Effect in real life? ›

The Fisher Effect teaches that you must earn an interest rate higher than the inflation rate to grow your money and keep up with increasing prices. Otherwise, your money won't be able to buy as much in the future, and its real value will shrink over time.

Why use Fisher's formula? ›

The concept is widely used in the fields of finance and economics. It is frequently used in calculating returns on investments or in predicting the behavior of nominal and real interest rates.

Why does Fisher effect formula work? ›

The Fisher Effect states that the real interest rate equals the nominal interest rate minus the expected inflation rate. Therefore, real interest rates fall as inflation increases, unless nominal rates increase at the same rate as inflation.

How is Fisher's ideal index calculated? ›

The Fisher Ideal index is the geometric average of a Laspeyres and Paasche indexes for the same time period. The geometric average is calculated by multiplying the Laspeyres index by the Paasche index and then taking the square root of the result.

What is the formula for expected inflation rate? ›

The Fisher equation states that i = r + E(π), where i is the nominal interest rate, r is the real (or, inflation-adjusted) interest rate, and E(π) is expected inflation. Rearranging, we get the formula E(π) = i - r. Traditional Treasuries promise to pay a specified dollar amount at some point in the future.

What is the formula for the expected real interest rate? ›

To calculate a real interest rate, you subtract the inflation rate from the nominal interest rate. In mathematical terms we would phrase it this way: The real interest rate equals the nominal interest rate minus the inflation rate.

How to calculate interest rate from GDP? ›

The real interest rates are calculated as (i - P) / (1 + P), where i is the nominal lending interest rate and P is the inflation rate (as measured by the GDP deflator).

How to calculate interest rate AP macro? ›

The equation for nominal interest rates is real interest rate + inflation. The equation for the real interest rate is the nominal interest rate - inflation.

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