Individual investors should avoid trading in F&O segment as it’s clearly a loss-making proposition (2024)

Synopsis

All the talk about derivates being beneficial for one reason or another is just propaganda. The growth of derivatives trading, and the subsequent financial challenges that the individual traders face, are likely to continue. Avoiding this potentially harmful activity might be the best choice for individuals.

Individual investors should avoid trading in F&O segment as it’s clearly a loss-making proposition (1)Getty Images

Individual investors should avoid trading in F&O segment as it’s clearly a loss-making proposition (2)

Dhirendra Kumar

CEO, Value Research

In a research report brought out last year, markets regulator Sebi showed that the futures and options (F&O) trading was a loss-making proposition for investors. The report revealed that 89% investors lost money through these activities, and only 11% made profits. Separately, in an interview with Zerodha CEO Nithin Kamath some time ago, I learnt that there are no more than 5 lakh derivatives traders in the entire country. Since Zerodha is the largest broker by a large margin, Kamath’s statement should be trusted. Considering the above two facts together, one comes to the rather sad conclusion that no more than 55,000 (11% of 5 lakh) individual traders made money from trading in derivatives. At least this is true of 2021-22, the period considered for the study. The vast activity in futures and options trading adds to the enormous noise generated on business TV, YouTube, WhatsApp and other social media, and only around 55,000 people make money from it. If you study the Sebi report in detail, you will find that about half of those who make money earn trivial profits of a few thousand rupees in a year. They would have earned more even with a bank fixed deposit.

The craziest part of this story is that no one in the industry mentions one simple fact: unlike equity, which is backed by the open-ended growth of the economy, F&O is a zero-sum game. Whenever someone earns a profit, it comes out of another trader’s pocket. The thought that a vast majority, over 90%, of the derivative trading activity on Indian exchanges doesn’t generate collective wealth, is striking. If one party is prospering, it’s because another party is facing a loss. So, if all the losses are someone else’s profits, who is pocketing all the money that the ordinary investors are losing? Take a guess. You must have read recently that the National Stock Exchange wants to extend the derivatives trading hours by adding another trading session in the evening. According to reports, the markets will close at the normal hour (3.30 p.m.), but then reopen from 6 p.m. to 9 p.m. At a ‘later stage’, the exchange might extend the evening session to 11.30 p.m. It’s clear that the brokers, exchanges, and those lending stocks profit from this activity, which seems to be the primary objective. If investors trade round the clock, they can also lose money round the clock, which is good for everyone else.

As a reader of this publication, you are almost certainly an individual investor who is interested in making money from investments. However, you should understand that this activity is not designed for you to make money. Instead, it's designed, managed and run to take your money away. All the talk about derivatives being beneficial for one reason or another is just propaganda. Considering the operations of the trading industry and its ability to shape the narrative, nothing is likely to change. The growth of derivatives trading, and the subsequent financial challenges that the individual traders face, are likely to continue. Avoiding this potentially harmful activity might be the best choice for individuals, as it seldom brings any benefits. The facts speak for themselves: with a vast majority of individual traders reaping minimal, if any, benefits from F&O trading, one must ask if it is worth the gamble. It’s not enough to be lured by the glitzy allure of potential profits or be swayed by the pervasive industry rhetoric. Wisdom lies in taking a step back, analysing the facts, and making informed decisions, in order to safeguard your financial future. As the saying goes, ‘It’s not about how much money you make, but how much you keep.’

(The author is CEO, VALUE RESEARCH.)

( Originally published on Oct 23, 2023 )

(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this column are that of the writer. The facts and opinions expressed here do not reflect the views of www.economictimes.com.)

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Individual investors should avoid trading in F&O segment as it’s clearly a loss-making proposition (2024)

FAQs

Is it safe to invest in F&O? ›

Buying options means limited risk, but you rarely make money. Many small F&O traders prefer to buy options as their risk is limited to the premium paid. Option sellers take more risks and earn more than option buyers more often. However, it is prudent to remember that there is limited risk when buying options.

Why do people lose money in F&O? ›

There are many reasons for this, but some of the most common include: Lack of knowledge: Many traders enter the F&O market without a good understanding of how it works. They may not understand the risks involved, or they may not have a trading strategy.

Can we make money in F&O? ›

Now that you are aware of the F&O trading process, here are a few things to be mindful of: Options contracts have a risk limitation to your premium amount, but on the flip side, money-making is also limited. Future margins have a rising tendency when the market is volatile.

Why options trading is bad? ›

Risking Your Principal. Like other securities including stocks, bonds and mutual funds, options carry no guarantees. Be aware that it's possible to lose the entire principal invested, and sometimes more. As an options holder, you risk the entire amount of the premium you pay.

Is F and O trading risky? ›

Conclusion. However, as previously stated, since precise price movement projections must be made, futures and options carry a significant level of risk. To make money from trading derivatives, it is important to have a solid understanding of stock markets, underlying assets, issuing companies, etc.

Is options trading really risky? ›

Options are generally risky, but some options strategies can be relatively low risk and can even enhance your returns as a stock investor. Like stockholders, owners of options can enjoy the potential upside if a stock is acquired at a premium to its value, though they'll have to own the options at the right time.

How many people lose money in F&O? ›

A 2021-22 report from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), India's market regulator, stated that 90% traders in F&O lost money during the year. Their collective losses?

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

The Rule of 90 is a grim statistic that serves as a sobering reminder of the difficulty of trading. According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital.

How many people lose money in option trading? ›

His agency, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, known as Sebi, says 90% of active retail traders lose money trading options and other derivative contracts. In the year ended March 2022, the latest for which figures are available, investors lost $5.4 billion.

Who should not trade options? ›

Who might not want to consider trading options? Buy and hold investors. Individual investors whose investing plan involves buying stocks, bonds, and other investments with a multiyear time horizon may not typically consider trading options (although there can be circ*mstances where it may be appropriate).

How many F&O traders make money? ›

According to a study by Sebi, in FY22 only 11 percent of individual traders in the equity F&O segment made profits, with an average profit of Rs 1.5 lakh.

How do people lose money in option trading? ›

Lack of a clear strategy: Options trading requires a well-defined strategy. If options buyers do not have a clear plan, exit strategy or risk management in place, they may make impulsive decisions that lead to losses.

Should I stay away from options trading? ›

The Bottom Line. So is options trading risky? If you do your research before buying, it is no riskier than trading individual issues of stocks and bonds. In fact, if done the right way, it can be even more lucrative than trading individual issues.

Is option trading a gamble? ›

Unlike gambling, options trading provides the opportunity for profit through strategic decision-making and analysis of the underlying asset. While there is an element of risk involved, options trading is not solely based on chance, but rather on probability and analysis.

How do you avoid loss in option trading? ›

The option sellers stand a greater risk of losses when there is heavy movement in the market. So, if you have sold options, then always try to hedge your position to avoid such losses. For example, if you have sold at the money calls/puts, then try to buy far out of the money calls/puts to hedge your position.

What is the success rate of F&O? ›

Only 1 out of 10 F&O traders made profit in FY22; average loss stood at ₹1.25 lakh | Mint.

What is the success rate of F&O trading? ›

According to a study by Sebi, in FY22 only 11 percent of individual traders in the equity F&O segment made profits, with an average profit of Rs 1.5 lakh. The percentage went down to 10 percent for active traders, though the average profit made by them went up to Rs 1.9 lakh during the same period.

Is F&O better than equity? ›

Risk & Reward

A combination of leverage (which refers to a possibility to enter into a sizable contract value with a relatively small amount of capital) and knowledge of risk mitigating strategies in the F&O segment can give you significantly more return on capital vis-à-vis equity trading or investing.

Which is safer futures or options? ›

Options are generally considered safer than futures because the potential loss in options trading is limited to the premium paid, whereas futures carry higher risk due to potential unlimited losses resulting from leverage and market movements.

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