The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet (2024)

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The 10-year Treasury yield (ticker: US10Y) describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. Also known as T-notes, Treasury notes are a low-risk fixed-income investment that pays a set rate of interest every six months.

The 10-year Treasury is frequently used in the news as a barometer or proxy for economic factors, including investor sentiment and mortgage rates. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently around 4%.

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What is the 10-year Treasury?

Considered one of the lowest-risk investments on the U.S. market, 10-year Treasurys are a “risk-free” benchmark against which other investments and debt are compared. (Three-month Treasury bills are another.)

While no investment is ever completely risk-free, Treasury notes come close if held to maturity. As a result, some investors and analysts look to demand for T-notes as one way to assess investor confidence in the economy.

Treasury notes are one of four main types of U.S. government debt securities. The others are Treasury bills, Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). They vary in their duration, interest payments and yields.

🤓Nerdy Tip

The “10 year Treasury” describes what 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will pay over 10 years if bought today. The 10-year yield is currently around 4%, following a recent high of 5.2% on October 29, 2023. Learn more about these “risk-free” Treasury or T-notes here.

What is the 10-year treasury yield today?

Here is today's 10-year Treasury note yield, alongside other Treasury securities for reference.

Rates are sourced from Google Finance and may be delayed. Data is solely for informational purposes, not for trading.

» Learn more: What are Treasurys? Government bonds vs. notes vs. bills

Key terms

Competitive bid

When a bidder specifies the conditions of the Treasury (such as rate and yield) that they’re willing to accept.

Non-competitive bid

When a bidder agrees to accept whatever conditions, such as rate and yield, are established at the auction.

Price

The face value of a Treasury note, or what you pay to loan the government money.

Treasury bill

The shortest-term U.S. debt security, Treasury bills mature in less than a year. They’re also known as a zero-coupon bond. T-bills do not pay interest like other Treasurys, and instead are sold at a discount. The difference between the face value of the T-bill and its discount rate is the “interest earned.”

Treasury bond

A long-term U.S. debt security maturing in 20 or 30 years.

Treasury note

A type of U.S. debt security maturing in 2, 3, 5, 7 or 10 years.

US10Y

Market ticker for the 10-year Treasury yield.

Yield

The interest rate the U.S. government pays on its debt, or how much you can earn from investing in a Treasury note.

Price vs. yield

Treasury prices and yields tend to move in opposite directions, and are affected by supply and demand and the health of the economy. The purchase price or face value of a Treasury note is what you pay to buy it. The T-note’s yield is the interest rate you earn for loaning the government money.

Treasury notes are sold at auction through a bidding process. The Treasury first accepts any noncompetitive bids, or bids from investors who accept the current T-note rate and yield. Then, the Treasury accepts the highest competitive bid.

If demand for Treasury notes is high, they may sell for more than their face value. If demand is low, on the other hand, Treasurys can sell for less than their face value.

The Treasury may raise the yield of newly issued 10-year notes if the price of existing 10-year notes starts to fall on secondary bond markets (because of market forces like inflation). If there's high inflation, for example, the potentially higher yield of newly issued 10-year notes will make them more attractive than previously issued T-notes.

This effect is also known as interest rate risk and is most relevant for investors trying to sell T-notes on a secondary market. If held for their full duration, Treasury notes still pay their coupon payments and principal in full. But if a T-note-holder were to sell early, they may have to discount the price.

Longer-term investments tend to offer higher yields to offset any potential price impact from interest rate or other risks.

Why is the 10-year Treasury yield important?

As one of the lowest-risk investments on the market, the 10-year Treasury and its yield are important for several reasons. First, the 10-year Treasury is a baseline against which the risk of other investments is assessed.

Treasury rates also affect interest rates for other types of consumer debt, like real estate and mortgage loans. Consumers often compare the return they could earn on Treasurys to certificates of deposit, money market accounts, corporate bonds and even mortgage-backed securities. So when yields for 10-year T-notes go up, so too do rates for real estate and mortgage debt.

Finally, supply and demand for Treasurys fluctuate with the economic climate. When markets or world events turn tumultuous, investors tend to flock to Treasurys in search of a safe haven. When times are good, though, investors tend to seek out other investments that can provide a more favorable return.

Are 10-year Treasury notes a good investment?

Whether 10-year Treasurys are a good investment for you depends on your investment goal. If your goal is to let your money grow slowly and conservatively over time, Treasury notes are considered a low-risk investment if held to maturity since they’re backed by the U.S. government.

One of the main risks with Treasury notes is what’s known as “opportunity cost”: You could forgo potential profits by investing in T-notes instead of a security with a higher potential return.

» Learn more about long-term investments

How do you buy 10-year Treasury notes?

Treasury notes can be bought in increments of $100 directly from the U.S. government via TreasuryDirect, or through a bank or broker. T-notes can also be purchased bundled together in the form of a Treasury exchange-traded fund.

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The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet (4)

Do you pay tax on T-notes?

Investors pay federal income taxes but no state or local taxes on T-notes and other Treasurys.

Next Steps

  • How to buy Treasurys

  • Best brokers for bond investing

  • What a brokerage account is and how to open one

  • Yield curve: what It is and why it matters

The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet (2024)

FAQs

The Current 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 4%. Here’s Why It Matters - NerdWallet? ›

Here's Why It Matters. The yield expected on 10-year Treasury notes acts as a benchmark for a nearly “risk-free” investment and affects prices for other investments in the economy. Alieza Durana joined NerdWallet as an investing basics writer in 2022.

Why is 10-year Treasury yield so high? ›

Behind the 10-year yield's recent rise

Yields on Treasurys, which rise when bond prices fall, largely reflect what investors think the Fed's benchmark short-term rate will average over the life of a bond. They in turn set a floor on mortgage rates and other types of fixed-rate debt.

What does a high yield on a 10-year Treasury mean? ›

The 10-year note is undoubtedly a highly significant benchmark for global financial markets. A rising yield indicates investor confidence in the economy but also suggests higher borrowing costs, potentially slowing economic growth. Conversely, a falling yield may signal economic uncertainty.

Why did the 10-year Treasury yield go up today? ›

10-year Treasury yield leaps to highest level in more than 5 months after GDP report. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Thursday after the first-quarter GDP report showed slowing growth and rising consumer prices.

Why are Treasury yields so heavily analyzed why do they matter? ›

The 10-year Treasury yield is used to determine investor confidence in the markets. It moves to the inverse of the price of the 10-year Treasury note and is considered one of the safest—if lowest returning—investments that can be made.

What is the highest 10 year Treasury yield in history? ›

US 10 Year Note Bond Yield was 4.49 percent on Monday May 6, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981.

What is the real 10 year Treasury yield? ›

10 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.50%, compared to 4.58% the previous market day and 3.37% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 4.25%. The 10 Year Treasury Rate is the yield received for investing in a US government issued treasury security that has a maturity of 10 year.

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

Overview: Best low-risk investments in 2024
  1. High-yield savings accounts. ...
  2. Money market funds. ...
  3. Short-term certificates of deposit. ...
  4. Series I savings bonds. ...
  5. Treasury bills, notes, bonds and TIPS. ...
  6. Corporate bonds. ...
  7. Dividend-paying stocks. ...
  8. Preferred stocks.
Apr 1, 2024

Should you buy bonds when interest rates are high? ›

Should I only buy bonds when interest rates are high? There are advantages to purchasing bonds after interest rates have risen. Along with generating a larger income stream, such bonds may be subject to less interest rate risk, as there may be a reduced chance of rates moving significantly higher from current levels.

What is the average annual 10 year Treasury yield? ›

Basic Info. 10 Year Treasury Rate is at 4.58%, compared to 4.63% the previous market day and 3.38% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 5.86%.

Can you lose money on bonds if held to maturity? ›

If you're holding the bond to maturity, the fluctuations won't matter—your interest payments and face value won't change. But if you buy and sell bonds, you'll need to keep in mind that the price you'll pay or receive is no longer the face value of the bond.

How much is a $100 savings bond worth after 30 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990)
$50 Bond$100$207.36
$100 Bond$200$414.72
$500 Bond$400$1,036.80
$1,000 Bond$800$2,073.60

Will interest rates go down in 2024? ›

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

Why is 10 year Treasury yield so important? ›

Why Is the 10-Year Treasury Yield Important? The 10-year Treasury yield serves as a vital economic benchmark, and it influences many other interest rates. When the 10-year yield goes up, so do mortgage rates and other borrowing rates.

What is more important current yield or yield to maturity? ›

Despite the simplicity of coupon rate and even current yield, we believe yield to maturity is the best measure to compare like bonds. However, one important factor that investors should not overlook is reinvestment risk.

Why do stocks fall when Treasury yields rise? ›

Higher Treasury yields can curb investors' appetite for stocks and other risky assets by tightening financial conditions as they raise the cost of credit for companies and individuals.

What causes Treasury yields to rise? ›

Prices and yields move in opposite directions. 1 When investors are feeling better about the economy, they are less interested in safe-haven Treasurys and are more open to buying riskier investments. As such, the prices of Treasurys dip, and the yields rise.

Why are Treasury yields rising despite rate cut expectations? ›

Investors are piling into the market to capture the higher yield and they're likely to continue to do that." A combination of strong economic data and limited progress on inflation in the last couple of months has amplified calls among Fed officials for patience as they approach a decision on when to cut rates.

Why does the 10 year Treasury affect mortgage rates? ›

Why? As a fixed-rate asset, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are in direct competition with Treasury instruments for investor money. For mortgages to stay competitive in the eyes of investors, the rates on mortgages inherently follow changes in Treasury yields.

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